Most marketing budgets start from last year's number. Better ones start from what a customer is worth. Here's a simple way to set yours for 2027.
Key takeaways
Most budgets are last year's figure plus or minus a percentage. That tells you nothing about whether the money will work. A better starting point is a simple question: what is a new customer worth to you, and how much of that can you afford to spend winning one?
For a DTC brand, work out the gross profit from a customer's first order and from the orders that typically follow. For a high-ticket service business, use the gross profit on a typical client. The amount you can afford to pay to acquire one customer is your target cost per acquisition. Everything else in the budget follows from it.
Once you know your target cost per new customer, the maths is straightforward. Decide how many new customers you need in 2027 to hit your revenue goal, then multiply by the cost you can afford for each. That is the acquisition budget your plan needs.
If the number feels too high, the problem is usually one of three things: the customer isn't worth enough yet, the conversion rate is too low, or you are relying entirely on paid channels. Each has a different fix, and fixing conversion is usually the cheapest.
Capture channels, such as paid search, shopping ads and retargeting, reach people already looking. They are efficient but limited by how many people are searching. Build channels, such as PR, SEO, content and broad paid social, create the demand that capture channels harvest later.
A budget that is all capture stops growing when search volume runs out. A budget that is all build takes too long to pay back. Most growing businesses need both, with the balance set by how well known the brand already is.
Buyers increasingly ask AI assistants which brand to choose before they search. Being named in those answers depends on reviews, press coverage and clear information on your own site. None of that sits neatly in a paid media line, so give it a line of its own: PR, reviews and content that answers buyer questions.
Read why AI engines cite some brands and ignore others for what drives those answers.
An annual budget set in December is out of date by March. Review it quarterly against cost per new customer, branded search and pipeline or revenue by channel. Move money towards what is working and away from what is not, and keep a small test budget so you can try new channels without waiting for next year's plan.
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There is no single right percentage. Start from what a new customer is worth and what you can afford to pay to win one, then multiply by the number of new customers you need. That gives a budget tied to your growth target rather than to a rule of thumb.
Split it between channels that capture existing demand, such as paid search, and channels that build new demand, such as PR, SEO and content. Lesser-known brands usually need more in building; well-known brands can lean more on capture.
Yes. Visibility in AI answers depends on reviews, press coverage and clear information on your site, so budget for PR, reviews and content that answers buyer questions.
Every quarter. Compare cost per new customer and revenue or pipeline by channel, then move money towards what is working.
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